Match: La Liga
Fixture: Alavés vs Real Madrid
Local Kick-off Time: December 14th, 21:00
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Open Odds:
| Category | Option | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds (1X2) | 1 | 6.50 |
| X | 4.00 | |
| 2 | 1.48 | |
| Asian Handicap | +1 | 2.05 |
| -1 | 1.80 | |
| Scored (Goals) | Goals Threshold: 2.5/3 | - |
| Over (2.5/3) | 1.90 | |
| Under (2.5/3) | 1.95 | |
| Corners | Corners Threshold: 9.5 | - |
| Over (9.5) | 1.80 | |
| Under (9.5) | 1.90 |
Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:
Alavés:
Alavés narrowly avoided relegation by 2 points last season; this season, they have accumulated 18 points and sit 11th in La Liga—6 points away from both the relegation zone and European qualification spots. Alavés have performed well at home this season: 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses from 8 home games, giving them a 50% home win rate (compared to just 30% last season). Alavés have scored only 13 goals in 15 matches and currently have a negative goal difference; many of their wins have come via “cost-effective” 1-0 scorelines.
| Competition | Date & Time | Home Team | Score | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Liga | 2025-12-06 23:15 | Deportivo Alavés | 1-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Copa del Rey | 2025-12-03 02:00 | CD Burgos | 0-3 | Deportivo Alavés |
| La Liga | 2025-11-29 23:15 | Barcelona | 3-1 | Deportivo Alavés |
| La Liga | 2025-11-22 21:00 | Deportivo Alavés | 0-1 | Celta Vigo |
| La Liga | 2025-11-08 21:00 | Girona | 1-0 | Deportivo Alavés |
Real Madrid:
After a losing streak, rumors of manager Xabi Alonso’s dismissal have circulated, but recent reports indicate that Real Madrid’s hierarchy still trusts the young coach, and players in the dressing room have also expressed support for Alonso. However, if the team fails to quickly turn around its current situation, Alonso’s position will become increasingly precarious. Real Madrid’s recent form has been poor: just 2 wins in their last 8 matches, and a two-match losing streak in the league and Champions League over the past week. The team has dropped points consistently over the past month, losing its position at the top of the table; to remain in the title race, Real Madrid must give their all in this match.
| Competition | Date & Time | Home Team | Score | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Champions League | 2025-12-11 04:00 | Real Madrid | 1-2 | Manchester City |
| La Liga | 2025-12-08 04:00 | Real Madrid | 0-2 | Celta Vigo |
| La Liga | 2025-12-04 02:00 | Athletic Bilbao | 0-3 | Real Madrid |
| La Liga | 2025-12-01 04:00 | Girona | 1-1 | Real Madrid |
| UEFA Champions League | 2025-11-27 04:00 | Olympiacos | 3-4 | Real Madrid |
Summary:
Real Madrid undoubtedly holds the upper hand in head-to-head records: winning 9 and losing 1 in their last 10 meetings with Alavés. Alavés’ last victory over Real Madrid came in July 2020. Over the past two seasons, Alavés have lost 0-1 to Real Madrid at home, but in terms of defensive stats, both teams have conceded 15 goals—making them among La Liga’s strongest defensive sides. With Kylian Mbappé unavailable midweek, Real Madrid’s attacking potency has been weakened, and whether they can break down Alavés’ defense in this match remains a major question. In Asian Handicap terms, Real Madrid’s line has dropped from -1 to -0.75, clearly reflecting a sharp decline in public confidence in Real Madrid over the past week. Based on the above analysis, despite Real Madrid’s extremely poor recent form, Alonso will certainly make tactical adjustments under heavy pressure to turn the tide. Therefore, more confidence can be placed in Real Madrid to secure these valuable three points away from home.
Handicap Prediction:
Real Madrid -0.75 (Asian Handicap)
Away Win (European Handicap)
Predicted Scores: 1-2, 1-3, 2-3
Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5
This content provides sports news and analysis for fan discussion only. Sports events involve uncertainties; actual results shall prevail.
